tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8285162121291357473.post2486393508355371633..comments2024-03-03T19:52:17.901+00:00Comments on ReARM ~ RedNev's Blog: Smallest decline in beer sales for yearsNeville Grundyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10923209266005338452noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8285162121291357473.post-89350741117502906302016-05-24T11:20:51.162+01:002016-05-24T11:20:51.162+01:00Your last point: that wouldn't surprise me at ...Your last point: that wouldn't surprise me at all.RedNevhttp://rednev-rearm.blogspot.co.uk/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8285162121291357473.post-55721761220524035612016-05-24T06:44:52.865+01:002016-05-24T06:44:52.865+01:00The BBPA always tend to highlight the quarterly fi...The BBPA always tend to highlight the quarterly figures in these stats, whereas the year-on-year ones are more meaningful, as they smooth out short-term fluctuations. On this basis, over a year, on-trade consumption is down by 2.4%, whereas the off-trade is up by 1.3%. Compared with ten years ago, on-trade sales are down by 36%, whereas off-trade sales have fallen by only 2%.<br /><br />I think we were still some way off the point where increased duty actually started to bring in less absolute revenue, although IMV this has been passed with tobacco.<br /><br />I'd say the key reason for the four year small cuts/freeze was electoral calculation. It defuses a high-profile and potentially toxic issue, just as the ongoing fuel duty freeze has done. It's clever politics as there is no mileage whatsoever in Labour opposing it and callng for increases. I can see us returning to duty rising in line with inflation from next year, however.Curmudgeonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02558747878308766840noreply@blogger.com